Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Oil extends drop on credit downgrades, U.S. glut


GEO 436 SINGAPORE: Oil extended losses on Wednesday, to stand down more than 3 percent this week, after a surge in U.S. crude inventories fed negative sentiment following the downgrade of credit ratings for Greece and Portugal. Standard Poor’’s on Tuesday cut Greece’’s credit rating to junk status after downgrading Portugal, prompting investors to pull cash out of energy markets in a flight from riskier assets. “Market sentiment remains fragile and there is a possibility that if we have more adverse economic news we could see prices decline further,” said David Moore, an analyst at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia. “U.S. oil demand is weak. Over the course of this year we may see inventories decrease a bit, but overall they will probably remain relatively high.” U.S. crude for June delivery fell 18 cents to $82.24 by 0304 GMT, heading for a cumulative drop of near $2 in the last two trading sessions. Oil pared losses as the dollar reduced gains on Wednesday, after trading as low as $81.66 a barrel earlier, down 78 cents from Tuesday. Crude inventories in the United States rose 5.3 million barrels in the week ended April 23, the American Petroleum Institute said on Tuesday. The gain was more than five times bigger than forecast by a poll of a British news agency, aided by soaring stockpiles at the Cushing, Oklahoma delivery point, the pricing reference for U.S. crude benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) NYMEX futures contract. Cushing stocks rose by 401,000 barrels last week to 34.6 million barrels, close to the record high 35.4 million barrels reported by the industry-funded API on January 1. The oil glut in the U.S. Midwest is creating distortions in oil futures markets. The front-month WTI contract, which usually trades at a premium to European benchmark ICE Brent futures, was almost $3.50 lower, its biggest discount in eight months. June Brent was down 16 cents at $85.62. Abundant supplies are also exacerbating incentives to stock more oil by depressing the value of prompt U.S. crude relative to contracts for later delivery. This market structure, known as contango, is showing the deepest discount for the front month WTI contract to the second month since December at about $2.50. The API also said U.S. stocks of gasoline and distillates including heating oil and diesel fell last week, bucking expectations for gains. Traders awaited government statistics on inventories from the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday at 1430 GMT. Forecasts are for gains across all three categories. U.S. retail gasoline demand dropped 2.7 percent in the week to April 23 from the previous week, according to a MasterCard SpendingPulse report on Tuesday. Year-on-year, U.S. gasoline demand fell 1.9 percent, the report said. A rise in U.S. consumer confidence to an 18-month high in April, according to a private industry group report also on Tuesday, failed to offset the negative effect of rising crude inventories and Greek debt. But the International Energy Agency forecasts global oil demand will grow by 1.7 million barrels a day this year, rebounding from two consecutive years of decline. “At the end of the day, prices will have their eye set in the medium term,” Moore said. “Ultimately we are looking at an international economic recovery, and as long as markets focus on recovery, that will limit the extent to which they could fall.”

Related posts:

  1. Oil extends gains in Asia
  2. Oil settles below $85
  3. Oil dips below 83 dollars in Asian trade

No comments:

Post a Comment